This is the code behind the report "Forecasting Technology Performance: Initial Tests with Time Series Extrapolation and Patent Data", written for IARPA.
The data
directory has the raw data, the manuscript
directory has the LaTeX
code and figures that created the manuscript, and the src
directory has the source code. The source code is embarassingly disorganized, because it is primarily code that was written during the exploratory phases of the research, not the final production code. The production code that was actually used for the manuscript is Manuscript_Figures.ipynb. Everything else is kept for posterity. Feel free to reach out to the author if you've questions/comments/concerns/stories.
This research is based upon work supported in part by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA). The views and conclusions contained herein are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as necessarily representing the official policies, either expressed or implied, of ODNI, IARPA, or the U.S. Government. The U.S. Government is authorized to reproduce and distribute reprints for governmental purposes notwithstanding any copyright annotation therein.